Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

10/27 Game 1

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +35.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Masato Hagiwara● Yu Suzuki● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Masato● Yu● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki26%26%24%24%-2.3-0.9+4.6-1.3
East 2Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,00025%24%27%24%-5.6-13.2-1.5+20.3
East 3Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,10020%15%27%38%-3.5+0.6-5.9+8.8
East 4Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki18%16%19%48%+10.9-0.6-10.7+0.5
South 1Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi23%14%14%49%-7.3+4.2-0.6+3.7
South 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,00016%16%14%54%-4.3-12.4+12.6+4.0
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki14%7%18%62%+35.1+3.0-35.4-2.7
South 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,00040%6%1%53%+27.9-1.0-5.6-21.3

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)