Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Asami Maki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +33.6 | -11.3 | -11.0 | -11.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 5,200 | 50% | 16% | 17% | 17% | -10.0 | -2.3 | +16.0 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 40% | 16% | 26% | 17% | +0.6 | +7.2 | -4.0 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 19% | 24% | 15% | -1.4 | -9.3 | -3.6 | +14.4 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Asami Maki | 42% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 0.0 | +1.5 | -5.9 | +4.4 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 42% | 15% | 17% | 26% | -0.3 | +1.6 | -11.5 | +10.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 41% | 15% | 11% | 33% | +0.6 | +9.5 | -9.2 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 42% | 20% | 9% | 30% | -3.0 | +3.4 | +1.8 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 38% | 22% | 10% | 30% | +11.9 | -5.6 | -4.1 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 53% | 14% | 8% | 26% | +4.4 | +11.1 | -10.2 | -5.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 61% | 18% | 1% | 21% | -23.3 | +48.3 | -8.4 | -16.7 |