Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.0 | +22.2 | -22.4 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 42% | 12% | 25% | -4.6 | +4.2 | +4.5 | -4.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 46% | 14% | 21% | -1.2 | +0.9 | -3.5 | +3.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 19% | 46% | 13% | 23% | -3.7 | +11.7 | -4.5 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 56% | 10% | 19% | -2.9 | -1.6 | +7.8 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 56% | 13% | 19% | -5.4 | +5.1 | +3.6 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 62% | 13% | 16% | +0.7 | +19.0 | -14.0 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 6% | 82% | 4% | 8% | -2.6 | +1.7 | +6.1 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 5% | 86% | 4% | 5% | -4.7 | -0.5 | -26.4 | +31.6 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 1% | 85% | 1% | 13% | 0.0 | -4.7 | +5.5 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 85% | 2% | 12% | +1.8 | -1.3 | -15.8 | +15.2 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 80% | 0% | 20% | -1.1 | +10.6 | +0.4 | -9.9 |