Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -3.2 | +25.8 | -23.2 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 44% | 12% | 24% | -3.1 | +3.2 | +5.3 | -5.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 46% | 14% | 19% | -4.2 | +1.4 | -3.2 | +6.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 1,500 | 16% | 48% | 13% | 23% | -3.6 | +11.8 | -3.9 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 13% | 59% | 9% | 19% | +0.1 | -2.9 | +6.0 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 57% | 12% | 17% | -5.2 | +3.7 | +3.6 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 61% | 13% | 17% | -2.9 | +20.5 | -12.9 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 83% | 4% | 8% | -1.3 | +1.3 | +6.6 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 5% | 87% | 4% | 5% | -2.5 | 0.0 | -28.1 | +30.5 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 86% | 1% | 12% | -0.8 | -5.8 | +6.5 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 85% | 2% | 13% | +1.2 | 0.0 | -15.7 | +14.5 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 82% | 0% | 18% | -0.8 | +9.9 | +0.1 | -9.2 |