Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +42.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.2 | +0.8 | +2.0 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 25% | 27% | 27% | -2.3 | +8.9 | -4.3 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 31% | 23% | 24% | -14.5 | +42.7 | -13.1 | -15.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 9% | 69% | 11% | 11% | +34.7 | -29.3 | -5.1 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 40% | 12% | 14% | +27.8 | -7.4 | -12.5 | -7.8 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,000 | 61% | 25% | 5% | 9% | -1.8 | -2.7 | -2.8 | +7.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 25% | 5% | 11% | -9.4 | +25.7 | -5.2 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 42% | 50% | 2% | 5% | -9.4 | +22.2 | +3.6 | -16.4 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 79% | 2% | 1% | +4.9 | -10.7 | +10.1 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 68% | 3% | 1% | -8.2 | +14.3 | -4.6 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 91% | 0% | 1% | +6.3 | +2.1 | +2.3 | -10.6 |