Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -1.1 | -0.1 | +1.7 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -3.2 | +10.2 | -3.3 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 32% | 23% | 24% | -15.5 | +44.6 | -15.8 | -13.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 7% | 71% | 11% | 11% | +36.7 | -32.9 | -1.2 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 38% | 14% | 13% | +23.3 | -5.3 | -13.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 3,000 | 57% | 29% | 5% | 9% | -1.4 | -1.4 | -2.5 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 28% | 5% | 11% | -6.8 | +24.7 | -6.0 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 42% | 52% | 3% | 4% | -9.5 | +21.7 | +3.4 | -15.6 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 19% | 78% | 1% | 1% | +4.9 | -10.9 | +9.7 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 68% | 3% | 1% | -7.9 | +14.5 | -4.4 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 91% | 0% | 1% | +6.2 | +2.0 | +2.2 | -10.4 |