Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/31 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 5 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -6.1 | +4.6 | +3.7 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 21% | 27% | 27% | 25% | -15.1 | +16.9 | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,900 | 13% | 39% | 25% | 23% | -1.7 | +14.4 | -6.6 | -6.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 51% | 20% | 17% | +13.5 | -6.4 | -1.2 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 47% | 21% | 15% | -10.3 | -12.5 | +33.1 | -10.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 9,600 from Ken Sonoda | 11% | 32% | 46% | 12% | -22.4 | -3.6 | +24.7 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 20% | 69% | 8% | -2.6 | +5.3 | +0.8 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 24% | 67% | 6% | +1.3 | -3.7 | +2.1 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 21% | 71% | 7% | +2.6 | -1.5 | +2.5 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 3% | 19% | 73% | 6% | -16.7 | +26.2 | -7.8 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 39% | 58% | 3% | -2.3 | +19.0 | -9.4 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 62% | 37% | 1% | -6.7 | +14.4 | -8.3 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 80% | 19% | 1% | +13.5 | -15.4 | +6.3 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,300 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 67% | 33% | 1% | +1.6 | +7.1 | -9.1 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 83% | 16% | 1% | -11.0 | -4.4 | -4.4 | +19.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 83% | 16% | 2% | -2.7 | +10.9 | -5.0 | -3.2 |