Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

10/31 Game 1

Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 5 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +29.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Suzuki Yu● Sonoda Ken● Nikaido Rumi● Hagiwara Masato0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Suzuki● Sonoda● Nikaido● Hagiwara
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Nikaido Rumi
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Nikaido Rumi
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%25%25%25%-5.8+2.1+6.7-3.1
East 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken20%27%29%25%-15.0+19.0-3.9-0.1
East 2, 2 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 3,90013%40%25%23%-5.4+14.4-5.7-3.4
East 2, 3 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 4,0009%53%19%20%+19.2-8.3-3.6-7.3
East 3Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,00019%45%20%15%-13.6-10.6+34.6-10.5
East 3, 1 honbaNikaido Rumi ron 9,600 from Sonoda Ken11%33%45%12%-20.4-3.1+24.3-0.8
East 3, 2 honbaDraw4%22%67%7%-1.5+2.6+0.6-1.7
East 3, 3 honbaDraw3%23%67%7%+1.6-0.6+1.5-2.4
East 3, 4 honbaDraw3%23%69%5%+1.4-5.3+4.5-0.6
East 3, 5 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken3%18%73%6%-18.3+29.9-9.7-1.9
East 4Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,0001%42%54%3%-1.3+18.0-8.6-8.0
South 1Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,2001%62%37%1%-6.4+13.3-7.1+0.2
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu0%80%20%0%+13.1-14.4+5.2-3.9
South 3Sonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Nikaido Rumi0%67%33%0%+0.7+6.6-8.2+0.9
South 4Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,0000%83%17%0%-10.4-5.0-5.4+20.8
South 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken0%82%16%3%-2.5+11.5-4.5-4.5

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)