Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/31 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 5 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -5.8 | +2.1 | +6.7 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 20% | 27% | 29% | 25% | -15.0 | +19.0 | -3.9 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,900 | 13% | 40% | 25% | 23% | -5.4 | +14.4 | -5.7 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 53% | 19% | 20% | +19.2 | -8.3 | -3.6 | -7.3 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 45% | 20% | 15% | -13.6 | -10.6 | +34.6 | -10.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 9,600 from Sonoda Ken | 11% | 33% | 45% | 12% | -20.4 | -3.1 | +24.3 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 22% | 67% | 7% | -1.5 | +2.6 | +0.6 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 23% | 67% | 7% | +1.6 | -0.6 | +1.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 3% | 23% | 69% | 5% | +1.4 | -5.3 | +4.5 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 3% | 18% | 73% | 6% | -18.3 | +29.9 | -9.7 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 42% | 54% | 3% | -1.3 | +18.0 | -8.6 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 62% | 37% | 1% | -6.4 | +13.3 | -7.1 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 80% | 20% | 0% | +13.1 | -14.4 | +5.2 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | +0.7 | +6.6 | -8.2 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 83% | 17% | 0% | -10.4 | -5.0 | -5.4 | +20.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 82% | 16% | 3% | -2.5 | +11.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |