Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +21.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 26% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -1.4 | -20.8 | +0.4 | +21.8 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 22% | 13% | 22% | 43% | -6.0 | +16.3 | -5.8 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 19% | 21% | 20% | 40% | -19.8 | -2.4 | +22.7 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 17% | 36% | 38% | -2.0 | -3.3 | -7.5 | +12.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 15% | 26% | 50% | +0.2 | -3.5 | -2.3 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 13% | 24% | 56% | -2.1 | +6.3 | -0.5 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 7,700 from Rumi Nikaido | 8% | 16% | 23% | 53% | +26.8 | -23.9 | -2.5 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 18% | 7% | 22% | 53% | -4.9 | -7.2 | +0.2 | +11.9 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 10% | 4% | 18% | 67% | -5.4 | -5.2 | +1.1 | +9.6 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,600 from Futoshi Watanabe | 4% | 0% | 13% | 83% | +0.1 | -1.6 | -6.2 | +7.8 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +0.9 | -4.2 | +0.3 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 16,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 1% | 0% | 1% | 98% | +31.4 | -17.8 | -13.2 | -0.3 |