Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +23.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -4.2 | -19.3 | +0.3 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 14% | 23% | 43% | -2.8 | +14.3 | -5.3 | -6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 22% | 21% | 37% | -22.8 | -1.3 | +22.2 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 19% | 35% | 38% | -2.7 | -2.9 | -5.4 | +10.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 7% | 16% | 29% | 49% | +3.3 | -4.8 | -5.0 | +6.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 13% | 23% | 56% | -2.6 | +6.9 | -0.8 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 7,700 from Nikaido Rumi | 8% | 17% | 23% | 53% | +26.0 | -24.3 | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 18% | 6% | 23% | 53% | -3.1 | -7.4 | -0.7 | +11.2 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 11% | 4% | 18% | 66% | -5.7 | -6.3 | +1.5 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,600 from Watanabe Futoshi | 4% | 0% | 13% | 83% | -1.0 | -1.1 | -5.8 | +7.8 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 0% | 2% | 97% | +1.9 | -4.5 | -0.5 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 16,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 0% | 1% | 98% | +30.8 | -17.4 | -13.3 | -0.1 |