Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/2 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +23.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +0.5 | -0.4 | +4.9 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 25% | 30% | 22% | -0.5 | +3.9 | +2.4 | -5.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 23% | 27% | 30% | 20% | +0.4 | -13.9 | -2.4 | +15.9 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,900 | 24% | 18% | 28% | 29% | -4.5 | -3.2 | +11.8 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Hinata Aiko | 21% | 15% | 37% | 27% | -4.3 | -1.5 | +5.9 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 17% | 15% | 43% | 26% | +24.3 | +0.3 | -1.2 | -23.3 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 14% | 40% | 13% | -12.9 | -10.3 | -13.9 | +37.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 10% | 28% | 37% | -3.7 | -0.4 | -0.8 | +4.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 10% | 27% | 41% | -5.4 | -7.3 | +20.6 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 17% | 7% | 46% | 30% | -2.4 | -12.2 | +15.9 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 9% | 3% | 64% | 24% | +0.3 | +8.7 | -10.1 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 6,400 from Katsumata Kenji | 12% | 6% | 53% | 29% | +24.6 | -7.4 | +4.2 | -21.5 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 1% | 58% | 13% | +11.8 | -3.3 | -5.0 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 39% | 0% | 51% | 10% | -43.7 | +0.4 | +7.1 | +36.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 0% | 66% | 31% | -1.7 | -1.8 | +23.2 | -19.7 |