Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/2 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +23.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -3.6 | +1.7 | +7.5 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 30% | 21% | +4.1 | +1.4 | +0.6 | -6.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 25% | 27% | 29% | 19% | -0.6 | -14.8 | +0.1 | +15.3 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,900 | 26% | 18% | 29% | 28% | -4.2 | -3.1 | +10.0 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Aiko Hinata | 22% | 15% | 36% | 26% | -5.4 | -0.8 | +5.4 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 14% | 42% | 26% | +23.3 | +1.5 | -2.2 | -22.6 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 15% | 38% | 14% | -13.2 | -11.0 | -10.7 | +34.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 10% | 31% | 35% | -2.5 | -0.1 | -1.7 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 11% | 28% | 39% | -4.1 | -7.6 | +20.7 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 17% | 7% | 48% | 28% | -3.7 | -12.4 | +16.7 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 9% | 3% | 67% | 21% | -1.4 | +7.4 | -10.2 | +4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 6,400 from Kenji Katsumata | 10% | 5% | 55% | 29% | +25.1 | -5.8 | +3.8 | -23.1 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 1% | 61% | 13% | +13.2 | -3.2 | -5.0 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 39% | 0% | 52% | 9% | -44.4 | -0.1 | +5.7 | +38.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 3% | 0% | 66% | 32% | -1.5 | -1.6 | +23.6 | -20.5 |