Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/3 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+68.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +1.9 | +3.3 | -1.9 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 27% | 27% | 22% | 24% | -25.7 | -5.0 | +0.7 | +30.0 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 11% | 21% | 21% | 47% | -23.0 | +29.5 | -3.2 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 3% | 41% | 17% | 38% | -10.5 | +14.2 | -0.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 53% | 14% | 32% | +3.2 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 54% | 13% | 31% | +0.2 | -1.9 | +4.3 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 53% | 17% | 29% | +0.2 | -3.4 | +6.1 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 3% | 48% | 20% | 29% | -14.8 | -5.1 | -8.0 | +27.9 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 36% | 10% | 53% | +10.8 | +0.4 | -4.7 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 40% | 10% | 49% | -5.3 | +5.3 | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 45% | 9% | 45% | -2.3 | +0.9 | +1.5 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 6,400 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 47% | 8% | 44% | -6.8 | -11.5 | -6.6 | +24.9 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 15% | 0% | 85% | +0.1 | +42.9 | -8.1 | -34.9 |