Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/6 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.4 | +7.4 | 0.0 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 31% | 24% | 24% | -5.2 | -11.0 | -5.6 | +21.7 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 17% | 21% | 21% | 41% | -0.3 | -3.6 | -1.5 | +5.4 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 17% | 18% | 18% | 47% | -0.4 | -22.0 | +25.5 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 8% | 36% | 41% | -16.2 | -3.5 | +24.1 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 6% | 62% | 30% | +6.3 | -0.6 | -2.5 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 5% | 60% | 29% | -18.9 | +58.1 | -18.4 | -20.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 3% | 42% | 38% | 17% | -14.6 | -8.9 | +26.5 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 20% | 70% | 10% | -10.1 | -4.9 | -1.2 | +16.3 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 16,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 13% | 70% | 17% | +17.0 | -35.0 | +13.9 | +4.1 |