Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/6 Game 1
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +26.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -7.9 | +8.7 | +0.3 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 32% | 25% | 24% | -3.5 | -13.1 | -7.1 | +23.6 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 17% | 22% | 18% | 43% | -1.6 | -3.6 | 0.0 | +5.2 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 16% | 19% | 18% | 47% | +0.9 | -22.7 | +25.2 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 7% | 36% | 42% | -15.7 | -4.8 | +25.4 | -4.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 5% | 64% | 28% | +5.3 | +1.1 | -2.8 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 5% | 61% | 27% | -18.8 | +59.1 | -19.4 | -20.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 3% | 44% | 37% | 16% | -14.8 | -9.9 | +26.6 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 21% | 70% | 10% | -10.2 | -5.0 | -0.8 | +16.1 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 16,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 12% | 71% | 17% | +17.1 | -35.1 | +13.6 | +4.4 |