Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/6 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+72.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -19.4 | +35.6 | -7.7 | -8.4 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 12% | 54% | 17% | 17% | -6.7 | +8.1 | -0.8 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 61% | 15% | 15% | +1.3 | -2.8 | -2.0 | +3.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 60% | 15% | 17% | -8.7 | -13.3 | -18.3 | +40.3 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 6% | 39% | 6% | 49% | -0.7 | -1.7 | -11.2 | +13.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 9,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 3% | 32% | 2% | 62% | -16.6 | -5.4 | +3.8 | +18.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 17% | 2% | 80% | -1.9 | -4.0 | -0.9 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 12% | 1% | 86% | +1.6 | +3.7 | -4.4 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 12% | 1% | 87% | -6.1 | -1.9 | +1.2 | +6.8 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | -2.2 | +11.3 | -3.8 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 15% | 0% | 85% | -0.2 | -7.4 | +1.3 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | -10.4 | -3.7 | +19.5 | -5.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 5% | 1% | 94% | +4.1 | -1.4 | -4.2 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +7.9 | -1.7 | -1.3 | -4.8 |