Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/7 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +28.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -15.0 | +24.3 | -5.4 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 14% | 44% | 21% | 22% | +4.2 | -3.6 | -2.6 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 41% | 19% | 24% | -5.6 | +28.1 | -13.8 | -8.7 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700 | 10% | 69% | 8% | 12% | -5.1 | +11.2 | -1.9 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 83% | 5% | 7% | +30.2 | -9.1 | -10.5 | -10.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 72% | 4% | 6% | -16.0 | +23.8 | -3.8 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 96% | 1% | 2% | -1.5 | -5.1 | +13.4 | -6.8 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 96% | 2% | 1% | +5.5 | +1.5 | -1.9 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -15.9 | -1.4 | +30.1 | -12.8 |