Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/7 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -15.2 | +25.1 | -6.0 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 44% | 21% | 21% | +5.1 | -4.9 | -1.8 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 39% | 21% | 22% | -6.4 | +27.1 | -15.3 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 68% | 8% | 15% | -5.1 | +11.9 | 0.0 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 82% | 6% | 6% | +31.0 | -10.5 | -11.9 | -8.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 69% | 4% | 7% | -14.9 | +25.3 | -5.3 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 96% | 1% | 2% | -2.2 | -5.6 | +15.1 | -7.4 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 95% | 3% | 2% | +5.5 | +2.3 | -3.2 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -16.5 | -1.4 | +30.9 | -13.0 |