Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+90.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 23% | 28% | 25% | -12.5 | +24.6 | -8.1 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 43% | 20% | 21% | -7.0 | -1.6 | +4.4 | +4.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 12% | 41% | 22% | 24% | +7.6 | -6.5 | -1.7 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 37% | 22% | 26% | +8.7 | -3.8 | -3.1 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 33% | 20% | 26% | +3.8 | +7.6 | -3.2 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 23% | 41% | 19% | 18% | +24.6 | -3.9 | -21.6 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000 | 43% | 34% | 7% | 16% | +42.1 | -20.6 | -9.4 | -12.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 88% | 7% | 2% | 4% | +18.2 | -5.4 | -4.7 | -8.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 97% | 2% | 1% | 1% | -4.1 | -3.9 | +13.5 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +6.7 | -9.4 | +1.5 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.2 | +9.5 | -0.5 | -9.1 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +3.2 | +5.6 | +1.8 | -10.7 |