Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+90.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -13.1 | +24.2 | -6.7 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 43% | 21% | 21% | -7.0 | +0.8 | +2.5 | +3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 13% | 43% | 22% | 22% | +6.3 | -6.2 | -0.4 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 38% | 21% | 25% | +10.1 | -5.3 | -4.2 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 22% | 35% | 18% | 25% | +3.1 | +5.9 | -3.3 | -5.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 24% | 39% | 17% | 20% | +24.9 | -3.6 | -19.6 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000 | 44% | 32% | 7% | 17% | +41.2 | -19.0 | -9.7 | -12.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 8% | 1% | 4% | +19.1 | -6.2 | -5.3 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -4.3 | -3.2 | +12.7 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +6.5 | -10.3 | +2.1 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.4 | +9.4 | -0.1 | -9.6 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +3.2 | +6.4 | +1.7 | -11.3 |