Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/9 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -5.7 | 0.0 | +1.3 | +4.4 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 24% | 25% | 30% | -4.0 | -13.2 | +20.7 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 18% | 15% | 41% | 26% | -1.2 | -21.1 | -2.7 | +25.1 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 15% | 5% | 35% | 45% | +1.8 | +3.5 | +3.4 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 16% | 7% | 39% | 37% | -10.5 | -0.8 | +10.4 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 6% | 51% | 35% | -12.9 | +36.4 | -12.5 | -11.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 7,700 from Rio Tojyo | 6% | 24% | 40% | 30% | -16.6 | +27.8 | -4.9 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 1% | 49% | 30% | 20% | -2.1 | -8.7 | +11.0 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,800 from Rio Tojyo | 1% | 38% | 42% | 20% | -6.8 | -7.4 | +17.7 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 22% | 64% | 14% | -2.6 | +36.4 | -26.4 | -7.4 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 78% | 14% | 8% | -0.3 | +11.6 | -2.1 | -9.2 |