Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +27.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -29.6 | +58.0 | -14.8 | -13.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 75% | 10% | 11% | +2.6 | +0.7 | -3.4 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 76% | 9% | 10% | +5.5 | -2.0 | -4.5 | +1.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 74% | 8% | 12% | -2.9 | +5.6 | -3.9 | +1.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 4% | 82% | 4% | 9% | +26.3 | -0.4 | -21.2 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 83% | 1% | 6% | +27.8 | -13.3 | -5.0 | -9.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 34% | 61% | 1% | 4% | +11.0 | -6.0 | -3.9 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 47% | 50% | 1% | 3% | +12.8 | -13.0 | -0.2 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 30% | 0% | 3% | -7.8 | +0.4 | +15.5 | -8.1 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 61% | 35% | 2% | 3% | +11.4 | -11.3 | -0.3 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 80% | 16% | 2% | 2% | +7.8 | -2.6 | -0.1 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 92% | 7% | 0% | 1% | +4.0 | -1.2 | -10.0 | +7.1 |