Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -30.2 | +56.3 | -12.9 | -13.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 4% | 75% | 10% | 11% | +4.0 | +0.5 | -5.7 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 74% | 9% | 10% | +6.3 | -2.1 | -1.3 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 74% | 9% | 10% | -4.2 | +5.5 | -6.4 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 5% | 81% | 4% | 10% | +25.6 | +1.1 | -20.4 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 84% | 2% | 5% | +28.9 | -13.4 | -5.8 | -9.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 34% | 62% | 1% | 3% | +9.0 | -6.4 | -3.5 | +0.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 45% | 50% | 1% | 4% | +11.8 | -13.4 | +1.9 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 31% | 1% | 3% | -5.0 | -0.2 | +13.7 | -8.5 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 63% | 33% | 1% | 3% | +11.4 | -10.7 | -0.6 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 81% | 16% | 1% | 2% | +6.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | -4.1 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 92% | 7% | 0% | 1% | +4.4 | -1.2 | -10.0 | +6.9 |