Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/13 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,800 from Suzuki Daisuke | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | +19.0 | -3.2 | -13.5 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 38% | 24% | 15% | 24% | -13.5 | -0.1 | +1.2 | +12.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 28% | 24% | 17% | 32% | -0.7 | +4.6 | -0.7 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 27% | 27% | 17% | 29% | -5.9 | +36.1 | -0.2 | -29.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 19% | 57% | 13% | 12% | +8.2 | -5.9 | +0.2 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 24% | 52% | 14% | 11% | -1.7 | -0.1 | -3.2 | +5.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 23% | 53% | 11% | 12% | -3.9 | -2.2 | -3.8 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 22% | 51% | 11% | 17% | +0.4 | +10.3 | -7.0 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 18% | 64% | 7% | 11% | -4.2 | -0.2 | -18.8 | +23.3 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 13% | 62% | 2% | 23% | -7.4 | +18.1 | -3.1 | -7.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke | 4% | 83% | 2% | 11% | +0.3 | +12.2 | -10.1 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 93% | 1% | 5% | -2.2 | +8.8 | -3.2 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -3.1 | -2.5 | -1.2 | +6.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -13.8 | -6.6 | +32.9 | -12.5 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 2% | +26.9 | -0.9 | -17.3 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,500 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -0.8 | -0.4 | -3.9 | +5.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -15.3 | -4.4 | -3.3 | +23.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 7% | -5.0 | -6.8 | -2.6 | +14.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 83% | 0% | 17% | -4.1 | -32.8 | -4.4 | +41.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 12% | 0% | 88% | -0.5 | -2.4 | -0.9 | +3.8 |