Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +50.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.3 | -1.0 | +6.7 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 21% | 25% | 28% | 26% | +0.7 | -4.1 | +4.3 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 21% | 32% | 25% | -14.7 | -0.9 | +17.1 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 19% | 47% | 21% | +16.9 | -5.3 | -9.2 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 17% | 39% | 22% | +4.7 | +0.2 | -0.8 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 17% | 38% | 18% | -3.4 | -4.9 | +0.6 | +7.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 22% | 16% | 38% | 24% | +20.7 | -9.3 | -0.1 | -11.3 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 42% | 9% | 35% | 14% | +24.6 | -8.3 | -12.9 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 1% | 10% | 10% | -32.5 | -10.6 | +50.4 | -7.3 |