Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +50.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -5.6 | +1.5 | +7.7 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 21% | 25% | 30% | 24% | +1.3 | -3.8 | +1.2 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 22% | 22% | 30% | 26% | -15.7 | -1.2 | +17.5 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 19% | 45% | 23% | +15.2 | -3.1 | -6.5 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 18% | 40% | 21% | +6.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 17% | 40% | 17% | -3.8 | -2.0 | -1.9 | +7.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 22% | 17% | 38% | 23% | +20.3 | -11.4 | +0.9 | -9.7 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 40% | 7% | 37% | 15% | +25.5 | -7.7 | -13.8 | -4.1 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 1% | 9% | 10% | -32.5 | -10.8 | +50.7 | -7.4 |