Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -22.0 | -0.4 | +0.8 | +21.6 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 24% | 23% | 42% | -6.9 | -16.1 | -9.2 | +32.2 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 9% | 12% | 74% | -13.9 | -0.5 | -0.3 | +14.7 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 89% | -3.1 | +0.3 | +2.9 | -0.1 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | -8.5 | +5.4 | +0.6 | +2.5 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 93% | -2.0 | -10.0 | +13.4 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -4.2 | +29.1 | -23.8 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | +3.0 | +1.1 | -2.6 | -1.5 |