Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -20.6 | -0.2 | -1.0 | +21.8 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 23% | 24% | 42% | -7.9 | -16.6 | -7.6 | +32.2 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 5% | 9% | 13% | 74% | -15.9 | +0.4 | -1.7 | +17.1 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% | -2.3 | +1.3 | +3.1 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% | -7.7 | +5.2 | +1.7 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 4% | 5% | 91% | -2.3 | -9.7 | +11.9 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -4.5 | +28.3 | -23.2 | -0.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +3.1 | +1.1 | -2.7 | -1.5 |