Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/16 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Sugawara Hiroe | 24% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -0.4 | +0.5 | +8.7 | -8.8 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,100 | 23% | 27% | 31% | 19% | -2.5 | +4.1 | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 22% | 28% | 31% | 20% | +1.2 | -10.9 | -1.2 | +11.0 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 22% | 20% | 31% | 27% | -1.7 | -9.0 | -3.1 | +13.8 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 21% | 16% | 26% | 37% | -4.3 | +14.1 | -5.8 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 9,600 | 19% | 24% | 23% | 34% | +31.9 | -9.9 | -9.5 | -12.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 17% | 17% | 21% | +32.4 | -9.7 | -11.4 | -11.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 5,200 | 79% | 7% | 6% | 8% | -5.2 | +16.2 | -6.3 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 75% | 12% | 5% | 7% | +12.2 | -17.2 | +1.5 | +3.5 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 91% | 1% | 4% | 5% | +2.8 | +23.7 | -0.8 | -25.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 97% | 1% | 0% | 2% | +4.6 | +2.7 | +3.0 | -10.3 |