Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/17 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -33.2 | +0.6 | -0.3 | +32.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 7% | 21% | 20% | 52% | +0.1 | -4.4 | +1.2 | +3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 7% | 16% | 21% | 56% | -1.1 | -12.6 | +15.4 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 6% | 11% | 30% | 54% | -1.2 | -6.5 | -3.7 | +11.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 7% | 24% | 65% | +18.3 | -9.2 | -1.7 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 9% | 5% | 24% | 61% | -9.6 | +0.7 | 0.0 | +8.9 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 3% | 5% | 20% | 73% | +12.2 | -16.4 | +0.3 | +3.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 0% | 16% | 80% | -2.1 | +4.3 | +1.6 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 1% | 19% | 76% | +3.0 | +1.1 | +3.2 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho | 9% | 1% | 26% | 64% | -6.4 | -6.4 | -7.2 | +20.1 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 1% | 0% | 4% | 95% | -0.7 | -9.6 | +9.5 | +0.8 |