Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/17 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -32.9 | -1.4 | +1.0 | +33.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 19% | 22% | 52% | -1.1 | +1.7 | -2.1 | +1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori | 7% | 19% | 20% | 54% | -0.9 | -16.9 | +16.9 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 5% | 11% | 31% | 54% | -2.7 | -5.5 | -2.9 | +11.0 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 7% | 23% | 66% | +18.3 | -8.3 | -2.2 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 10% | 6% | 24% | 60% | -7.7 | -0.6 | -0.1 | +8.4 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 3% | 5% | 20% | 72% | +12.1 | -16.2 | +0.1 | +4.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 0% | 17% | 79% | -2.7 | +2.8 | +3.1 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 0% | 20% | 75% | +2.4 | +2.8 | +2.1 | -7.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 1% | 26% | 64% | -6.3 | -6.7 | -7.1 | +20.0 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 4% | 95% | -0.5 | -9.5 | +9.3 | +0.7 |