Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+84.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 16,000 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +37.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +43.9 | -15.5 | -13.6 | -14.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | +2.6 | +6.1 | -4.0 | -4.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 16,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 64% | 15% | 11% | 11% | -3.1 | -35.9 | +37.3 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 7,800 | 58% | 4% | 28% | 10% | -5.4 | +13.3 | -1.8 | -6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 54% | 7% | 29% | 10% | +2.4 | -5.1 | +5.8 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 5% | 33% | 8% | -14.2 | -6.5 | +30.4 | -9.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 31% | 2% | 64% | 3% | -0.8 | -4.1 | -0.7 | +5.5 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 30% | 2% | 65% | 4% | +17.6 | +2.8 | -4.0 | -16.5 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100 | 45% | 1% | 53% | 1% | -2.4 | -1.0 | +3.8 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 41% | 1% | 58% | 1% | -16.3 | -8.2 | +27.9 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 0% | 94% | 0% | -2.3 | -6.1 | 0.0 | +8.4 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -0.3 | +6.5 | +4.8 | -11.0 |