Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+84.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 16,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +42.9 | -14.4 | -11.9 | -16.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 12% | 14% | 12% | +3.7 | +3.3 | -5.1 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 16,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 64% | 13% | 11% | 12% | -4.2 | -35.2 | +39.5 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 7,800 | 56% | 3% | 30% | 10% | -2.9 | +14.7 | -5.8 | -6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 56% | 7% | 29% | 9% | 0.0 | -4.5 | +8.3 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 5% | 33% | 7% | -14.4 | -6.9 | +29.6 | -8.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 30% | 2% | 64% | 4% | -0.4 | -5.2 | -0.7 | +6.3 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 29% | 2% | 65% | 5% | +18.7 | +3.4 | -4.2 | -17.9 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,100 | 47% | 1% | 52% | 1% | -2.8 | -1.0 | +3.8 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 1% | 57% | 0% | -17.4 | -7.5 | +28.5 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 0% | 95% | 0% | -1.5 | -5.5 | -0.5 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -0.4 | +5.7 | +4.9 | -10.2 |