Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/20 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+70.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +41.7 | +1.0 | -2.2 | -40.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 58% | 19% | 18% | 5% | -2.8 | +0.5 | -2.3 | +4.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200 | 58% | 18% | 17% | 7% | -3.0 | -11.3 | +19.0 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000 | 53% | 12% | 29% | 5% | -20.0 | -13.7 | +42.8 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 5% | 70% | 2% | -1.9 | -6.2 | -9.4 | +17.5 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 26% | 5% | 64% | 5% | +26.4 | -21.2 | -5.0 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 47% | 1% | 49% | 3% | -19.7 | -2.8 | +9.9 | +12.6 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 24% | 1% | 71% | 4% | -5.6 | -13.1 | +17.4 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 7% | 0% | 91% | 2% | +1.7 | -0.1 | -13.3 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 0% | 81% | 6% | -3.3 | -0.8 | +13.8 | -9.7 |