Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/20 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+70.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +42.7 | -3.0 | +0.3 | -40.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 18% | 19% | 6% | -1.5 | +3.6 | -3.4 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 57% | 20% | 17% | 6% | -3.8 | -11.6 | +18.6 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 54% | 13% | 28% | 5% | -20.1 | -13.6 | +42.2 | -8.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 5% | 72% | 2% | -0.8 | -4.5 | -8.8 | +14.1 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 24% | 6% | 65% | 5% | +26.8 | -21.1 | -6.4 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 49% | 1% | 47% | 2% | -20.6 | -3.5 | +8.1 | +16.0 |
| South 2 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 25% | 2% | 67% | 6% | -5.6 | -14.2 | +19.7 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 7% | 0% | 91% | 2% | +0.9 | +0.3 | -12.3 | +11.1 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 0% | 83% | 6% | -2.8 | -1.0 | +13.0 | -9.2 |