Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/21 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+70.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -32.2 | -0.6 | -1.6 | +34.4 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 8% | 21% | 19% | 53% | +2.1 | -28.9 | -0.9 | +27.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 4% | 4% | 11% | 81% | -4.0 | +5.5 | -3.3 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,000 from Asami Maki | 2% | 5% | 8% | 85% | +5.2 | -4.4 | +0.2 | -1.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 3% | 8% | 87% | +7.4 | -1.9 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 3% | 8% | 84% | +31.9 | -10.2 | -11.1 | -10.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 2% | 7% | 71% | +45.8 | -7.9 | -12.5 | -25.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 2% | 3% | 26% | -16.5 | -5.2 | -1.9 | +23.6 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki ron 2,600 from Sugawara Hiroe | 43% | 0% | 1% | 56% | -3.0 | -6.3 | +1.4 | +7.9 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 32% | 0% | 1% | 67% | -6.1 | +0.2 | -3.4 | +9.3 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,500 | 16% | 0% | 0% | 84% | -6.8 | -2.5 | +4.7 | +4.6 |