Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/21 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+70.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +35.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -29.9 | -1.6 | -3.8 | +35.3 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 8% | 19% | 19% | 54% | -0.9 | -27.6 | +0.5 | +28.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 4% | 11% | 83% | -0.1 | +3.8 | -3.8 | +0.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 1,000 from Maki Asami | 3% | 4% | 8% | 85% | +4.8 | -2.9 | +1.4 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 4% | 8% | 84% | +5.4 | -2.1 | -1.7 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 4% | 9% | 82% | +32.7 | -11.5 | -13.9 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 2% | 6% | 74% | +45.6 | -7.8 | -9.9 | -27.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 1% | 3% | 26% | -16.2 | -3.4 | -3.2 | +22.8 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami ron 2,600 from Hiroe Sugawara | 43% | 1% | 2% | 54% | -4.9 | -7.3 | +2.6 | +9.6 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki | 30% | 0% | 1% | 69% | -4.8 | +0.2 | -4.1 | +8.6 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 16% | 0% | 0% | 84% | -6.7 | -2.1 | +4.3 | +4.5 |