Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/21 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.2 | +23.4 | -18.3 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 41% | 14% | 22% | -9.2 | +32.9 | -10.3 | -13.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 11% | 72% | 7% | 10% | +0.9 | -2.6 | -1.5 | +3.2 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 71% | 7% | 11% | +22.9 | -3.2 | -13.6 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 67% | 3% | 8% | +6.4 | -1.5 | +2.1 | -7.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 65% | 3% | 5% | -5.0 | +8.5 | -4.0 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 78% | 1% | 3% | +35.0 | -27.0 | -4.4 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 30% | 1% | 3% | -0.2 | +3.0 | -6.2 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 67% | 32% | 0% | 2% | -28.0 | +31.1 | -1.6 | -1.4 |