Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/21 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +0.1 | +22.7 | -20.6 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 42% | 12% | 23% | -10.6 | +33.2 | -9.4 | -13.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 11% | 74% | 6% | 10% | +3.6 | -3.0 | +0.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 73% | 6% | 10% | +21.5 | -4.2 | -13.0 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 65% | 3% | 8% | +5.6 | -1.6 | +0.4 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 65% | 3% | 6% | -6.1 | +8.7 | -1.0 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 78% | 2% | 4% | +37.5 | -27.9 | -4.7 | -5.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 69% | 28% | 1% | 2% | -2.1 | +3.3 | -7.5 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 65% | 32% | 0% | 3% | -27.2 | +31.4 | -1.8 | -2.4 |