Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/23 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+85.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +3.9 | -6.0 | +4.7 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 29% | 22% | 27% | 22% | -1.5 | +6.6 | +0.4 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 25% | 27% | 21% | -5.0 | -3.8 | +9.7 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 23% | 23% | 34% | 20% | -1.3 | -2.6 | +34.1 | -30.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 15% | 65% | 5% | -9.0 | -7.9 | +24.6 | -7.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 5% | 5% | 87% | 2% | -0.8 | +6.0 | -0.3 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 6% | 89% | 1% | +24.7 | -7.0 | -5.3 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 12% | 5% | 83% | 0% | -3.4 | -2.7 | +19.9 | -13.8 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 1% | 98% | 0% | +3.5 | -3.7 | +0.5 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +9.7 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.7 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +3.4 | +0.1 | +0.7 | -4.3 |