Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/23 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+85.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.8 | -4.8 | +1.7 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 28% | 21% | 27% | 24% | -3.1 | +5.9 | +3.1 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 25% | 29% | 20% | -4.7 | -3.4 | +9.2 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 21% | 23% | 36% | 20% | +0.2 | -2.7 | +31.5 | -29.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 15% | 64% | 5% | -8.3 | -8.7 | +25.4 | -8.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 5% | 5% | 88% | 2% | +0.4 | +7.2 | -1.1 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 7% | 88% | 1% | +23.2 | -7.7 | -4.4 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 12% | 4% | 84% | 0% | -3.9 | -2.5 | +19.0 | -12.6 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 0% | +2.5 | -3.7 | +1.2 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +10.4 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -8.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.6 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +3.3 | -0.1 | +0.5 | -3.7 |