Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/24 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +21.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -2.7 | +1.3 | +9.8 | -8.4 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 22% | 27% | 33% | 18% | -1.8 | +34.2 | -3.9 | -28.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 18% | 52% | 25% | 5% | -19.6 | -1.1 | +2.2 | +18.6 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 10% | 53% | 25% | 12% | +1.8 | 0.0 | +7.8 | -9.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 52% | 30% | 8% | +12.3 | -0.9 | -7.5 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 15% | 53% | 25% | 8% | -19.0 | +0.5 | +21.6 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 6% | 49% | 42% | 4% | -2.7 | -3.3 | +12.9 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 38% | 59% | 2% | +10.1 | -5.8 | +0.3 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 33% | 62% | 2% | -2.1 | +5.6 | -1.5 | -2.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 37% | 61% | 2% | +1.6 | -13.8 | +18.8 | -6.6 |