Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/24 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -3.5 | +1.0 | +11.1 | -8.6 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 22% | 26% | 33% | 20% | +0.5 | +33.8 | -5.4 | -28.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 18% | 51% | 25% | 6% | -18.2 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +16.2 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 11% | 53% | 26% | 10% | -0.4 | -0.3 | +9.2 | -8.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 52% | 31% | 8% | +13.3 | -1.1 | -8.4 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 17% | 51% | 24% | 8% | -20.9 | -0.4 | +23.7 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 5% | 47% | 44% | 4% | -2.8 | -1.8 | +10.8 | -6.2 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 39% | 57% | 3% | +11.8 | -8.1 | +2.4 | -6.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 30% | 65% | 2% | -2.8 | +7.4 | -3.0 | -1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 37% | 60% | 2% | +1.5 | -13.9 | +18.9 | -6.5 |