Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/24 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -6.4 | +0.5 | +25.7 | -19.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 24% | 43% | 13% | +4.9 | -8.5 | -1.6 | +5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 17% | 44% | 17% | +6.9 | +1.6 | -4.1 | -4.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 18% | 39% | 14% | -6.0 | +27.7 | -7.8 | -13.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 40% | 29% | 7% | -1.7 | +5.1 | -15.8 | +12.4 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 21% | 47% | 19% | 13% | +1.2 | -20.3 | +20.8 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 27% | 35% | 13% | -5.1 | -3.3 | +10.5 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 19% | 21% | 48% | 12% | +1.6 | +8.2 | -22.5 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 25% | 31% | 25% | 19% | -14.1 | +40.9 | -42.0 | +15.3 |