Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/27 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -4.8 | +7.0 | -0.6 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 29% | 23% | 26% | -1.5 | -4.9 | +8.8 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 25% | 30% | 24% | +42.6 | -9.9 | -22.4 | -10.3 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 14% | 12% | 16% | -6.3 | +24.8 | -4.5 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 31% | 11% | 8% | -8.6 | -4.6 | -8.4 | +21.5 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 29% | 9% | 19% | -18.0 | +37.5 | -8.1 | -11.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 15% | 73% | 4% | 8% | -38.0 | +4.0 | +34.4 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 82% | 10% | 7% | -2.1 | +1.6 | -5.6 | +6.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 88% | 2% | 9% | -2.2 | -1.4 | -7.5 | +11.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 87% | 2% | 10% | -9.5 | +5.8 | +20.6 | -16.9 |