Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/27 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.9 | +8.8 | -3.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 30% | 24% | 25% | 0.0 | -7.3 | +7.5 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 25% | 28% | 26% | +42.2 | -8.9 | -22.0 | -11.3 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 15% | 12% | 16% | -3.6 | +24.1 | -6.2 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 32% | 9% | 8% | -10.4 | -4.9 | -5.9 | +21.1 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 29% | 9% | 19% | -18.9 | +37.5 | -8.1 | -10.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 14% | 73% | 4% | 8% | -36.9 | +3.5 | +34.0 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 82% | 10% | 7% | -2.0 | +2.4 | -4.9 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 89% | 3% | 8% | -4.0 | -1.2 | -7.2 | +12.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 88% | 2% | 10% | -8.2 | +5.4 | +19.7 | -16.9 |