Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/27 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +44.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +44.9 | -15.7 | -13.7 | -15.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | +5.7 | -2.4 | -1.7 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 11% | 12% | 11% | -9.6 | +22.9 | -7.7 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 57% | 23% | 10% | 10% | -3.9 | +27.5 | -23.7 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 43% | 2% | 8% | -1.7 | -5.7 | -2.4 | +9.7 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 47% | 38% | 3% | 12% | +2.2 | +2.7 | -2.5 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 48% | 39% | 2% | 11% | +15.0 | -2.9 | -9.1 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 64% | 30% | 1% | 5% | -3.0 | -1.5 | -10.0 | +14.4 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 28% | 0% | 10% | +4.4 | -7.5 | +4.2 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 73% | 17% | 0% | 9% | +2.6 | +3.0 | +18.8 | -24.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 77% | 19% | 1% | 3% | -10.1 | -10.4 | +39.6 | -19.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 17% | 11% | 2% | -15.6 | +33.0 | -14.1 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 64% | 1% | 1% | +30.0 | -25.5 | +1.5 | -6.1 |