Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/27 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +47.9 | -15.5 | -15.7 | -16.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 12% | 13% | 13% | +5.3 | -2.6 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 10% | 11% | 12% | -14.1 | +26.1 | -7.3 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 54% | 25% | 10% | 11% | -1.6 | +24.0 | -21.7 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 41% | 3% | 9% | -2.0 | -3.9 | -4.0 | +9.9 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 45% | 39% | 3% | 13% | +2.5 | +3.0 | -2.3 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 48% | 41% | 2% | 10% | +14.2 | -3.1 | -8.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 63% | 31% | 1% | 5% | +0.3 | -3.1 | -9.8 | +12.6 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 65% | 26% | 0% | 9% | +2.4 | -6.6 | +3.8 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 73% | 17% | 1% | 9% | +2.5 | +3.1 | +17.9 | -23.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000 | 78% | 18% | 1% | 3% | -10.3 | -10.1 | +40.8 | -20.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 18% | 11% | 2% | -15.3 | +32.9 | -14.5 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 35% | 64% | 1% | 1% | +29.8 | -25.3 | +1.6 | -6.1 |