Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

11/28 Game 1

Sugawara Hiroe finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Sugawara Hiroe's expected points by +42.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance	Asami Maki 1st-place chance	Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance	Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance	Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change	Asami Maki Expected pt change	Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change	Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change
East 1	Sugawara Hiroe ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro	23%	25%	26%	26%	+32.0	-1.8	-1.0	-29.2
East 1, 1 honba	Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200	47%	22%	21%	10%	-8.0	-0.6	-3.8	+12.4
East 2	Asami Maki tsumo 7,800	42%	22%	21%	15%	-9.0	+19.3	-4.8	-5.4
East 2, 1 honba	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000	32%	36%	18%	13%	-2.5	-12.1	+21.7	-7.1
East 3	Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro	32%	26%	32%	10%	-2.9	-7.3	+33.1	-22.9
East 3, 1 honba	Draw	23%	14%	60%	3%	-3.4	-1.2	+6.2	-1.6
East 3, 2 honba	Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Asami Maki	18%	13%	66%	3%	+23.7	-19.3	-4.3	-0.1
East 4	Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,000 from Asami Maki	34%	4%	60%	2%	+1.2	-0.6	+1.6	-2.2
South 1	Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro	34%	5%	61%	1%	-5.2	+1.3	+11.6	-7.7
South 2	Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Asami Maki	21%	3%	76%	0%	-0.2	-17.4	+4.0	+13.6
South 3	Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi	16%	0%	83%	1%	-0.6	+2.3	0.0	-1.8
South 4	Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi	11%	0%	88%	1%	+3.2	-0.6	-5.2	+2.7
South 4, 1 honba	Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro	19%	0%	80%	1%	+42.3	+5.8	-32.3	-15.8

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)