Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/28 Game 1
Hiroe Sugawara finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Hiroe Sugawara's expected points by +42.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +32.3 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -28.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 49% | 21% | 20% | 10% | -7.4 | -3.0 | -2.7 | +13.1 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 7,800 | 43% | 21% | 21% | 16% | -7.4 | +20.0 | -6.6 | -6.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 36% | 16% | 12% | -6.7 | -11.7 | +23.1 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 30% | 26% | 32% | 12% | -3.0 | -5.9 | +33.8 | -24.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 15% | 61% | 3% | -0.7 | -3.5 | +4.3 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 19% | 13% | 66% | 3% | +23.0 | -17.9 | -3.7 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 1,000 from Maki Asami | 36% | 5% | 58% | 2% | +2.9 | -3.1 | +2.5 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 36% | 3% | 61% | 1% | -6.7 | +2.1 | +11.9 | -7.2 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 21% | 3% | 76% | 0% | -1.2 | -15.7 | +4.0 | +12.9 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 1,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 15% | 0% | 85% | 1% | +0.8 | +2.4 | -0.8 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 13% | 0% | 87% | 1% | +2.6 | -0.9 | -4.5 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 19% | 0% | 81% | 1% | +42.0 | +5.4 | -32.6 | -14.8 |