Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +40.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -0.4 | +20.6 | -21.2 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 22% | 41% | 13% | 25% | -5.2 | +2.5 | +2.0 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 17% | 45% | 14% | 24% | -0.2 | +30.9 | -29.3 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 10% | 75% | 2% | 14% | -0.3 | -9.5 | +11.1 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 13% | 67% | 5% | 15% | +49.9 | -23.1 | -11.8 | -15.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 59% | 31% | 2% | 8% | -37.0 | +4.5 | -1.2 | +33.7 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 44% | 2% | 33% | -12.6 | +32.6 | -5.1 | -14.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 5% | 84% | 1% | 11% | +20.5 | -3.7 | -11.7 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000 | 14% | 77% | 0% | 9% | -1.4 | -0.6 | +3.6 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 78% | 0% | 10% | -19.0 | -4.4 | -8.4 | +31.8 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 73% | 0% | 25% | -5.7 | -31.0 | -3.9 | +40.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 7% | 0% | 92% | -1.4 | +1.1 | +0.5 | -0.2 |