Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +41.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.9 | +23.5 | -21.7 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 22% | 42% | 12% | 24% | -4.7 | +0.5 | +3.6 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 18% | 43% | 13% | 25% | -1.5 | +33.5 | -30.3 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 10% | 75% | 1% | 14% | +0.3 | -9.7 | +11.2 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 12% | 69% | 4% | 15% | +50.0 | -24.6 | -10.6 | -14.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 58% | 32% | 2% | 8% | -38.0 | +6.5 | -1.8 | +33.3 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 45% | 2% | 32% | -11.4 | +30.8 | -5.2 | -14.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 5% | 83% | 1% | 11% | +19.8 | -2.6 | -12.1 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,000 | 12% | 79% | 0% | 9% | -1.2 | -1.2 | +3.7 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 79% | 0% | 9% | -18.4 | -5.0 | -8.3 | +31.6 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 73% | 0% | 24% | -6.0 | -31.5 | -4.1 | +41.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 6% | 0% | 93% | -1.3 | +1.7 | +0.8 | -1.1 |