Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/30 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+50.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +56.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +5.7 | -3.2 | +2.7 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 30% | 21% | 27% | 22% | -9.1 | -0.8 | -0.7 | +10.6 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 22% | 24% | 31% | -3.0 | -8.0 | +12.3 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 16% | 35% | 28% | +28.1 | -7.8 | -13.8 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 42% | 12% | 22% | 24% | -2.7 | +2.0 | +2.5 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 40% | 14% | 25% | 22% | +3.0 | +3.6 | -3.3 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 43% | 16% | 22% | 19% | -2.2 | -17.0 | -4.0 | +23.2 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Matsugase Takaya | 39% | 8% | 18% | 35% | +4.9 | -13.4 | +8.3 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 45% | 1% | 21% | 33% | -2.7 | +0.3 | -9.1 | +11.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 1% | 12% | 49% | -33.2 | -4.2 | +56.6 | -19.3 |