Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/30 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+50.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +58.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +3.9 | -2.2 | +0.1 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 29% | 24% | 25% | 22% | -8.9 | -2.7 | +1.2 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 26% | 30% | -2.3 | -6.7 | +11.6 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 18% | 35% | 28% | +27.4 | -9.1 | -14.3 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 41% | 12% | 23% | 24% | -1.8 | +3.9 | +1.8 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 14% | 24% | 21% | +1.3 | +2.2 | -0.8 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 41% | 16% | 23% | 20% | +0.2 | -19.0 | -3.8 | +22.6 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Takaya Matsugase | 40% | 6% | 19% | 35% | +4.4 | -10.1 | +4.0 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 2% | 18% | 34% | -4.4 | -0.6 | -7.7 | +12.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 37% | 1% | 10% | 53% | -32.2 | -4.2 | +58.4 | -22.0 |