Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +22.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -14.1 | -3.9 | -3.9 | +22.0 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 22% | 20% | 42% | -1.8 | -12.0 | +14.7 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 15% | 14% | 31% | 40% | -21.6 | +23.6 | -2.6 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 27% | 27% | 41% | +5.3 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 27% | 27% | 38% | -15.5 | +18.3 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 2% | 42% | 22% | 34% | -9.5 | -8.8 | -3.8 | +22.1 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 25% | 15% | 60% | -4.5 | -2.9 | -9.3 | +16.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 10% | 3% | 87% | +0.4 | -1.9 | -2.4 | +3.9 |