Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +20.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -13.0 | -2.8 | -3.5 | +19.3 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 22% | 23% | 40% | +0.2 | -10.0 | +10.5 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 16% | 16% | 29% | 39% | -22.2 | +23.7 | -3.1 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 7% | 28% | 24% | 41% | +5.9 | -3.4 | +0.6 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 27% | 26% | 38% | -16.8 | +16.6 | -0.1 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 2% | 39% | 24% | 35% | -10.1 | -4.9 | -5.5 | +20.4 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 26% | 14% | 59% | -4.3 | -5.0 | -8.0 | +17.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 10% | 3% | 87% | +0.6 | -1.5 | -2.7 | +3.6 |