Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +47.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -18.2 | -6.9 | -9.1 | +34.2 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 13% | 18% | 18% | 51% | +12.4 | -14.8 | +0.2 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 11% | 18% | 53% | +17.0 | -4.2 | -11.0 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 30% | 9% | 11% | 51% | -2.1 | -8.2 | +1.3 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 5% | 10% | 60% | +2.1 | -4.5 | +3.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 25% | 4% | 11% | 60% | -10.1 | -4.7 | +12.7 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 3% | 16% | 66% | -9.2 | +29.5 | -11.5 | -8.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 14% | 14% | 57% | +30.1 | -16.3 | -8.5 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000 | 40% | 4% | 9% | 47% | -26.1 | -16.3 | +68.4 | -26.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 9% | 1% | 74% | 16% | +20.0 | -1.6 | +0.1 | -18.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 0% | 76% | 6% | -5.7 | -2.3 | +4.9 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 0% | 83% | 7% | +47.8 | -2.9 | -34.5 | -10.3 |