Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +47.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -18.5 | -6.4 | -6.0 | +30.9 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 13% | 18% | 19% | 51% | +13.5 | -16.8 | -0.4 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 9% | 18% | 54% | +14.4 | -3.4 | -8.1 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 28% | 8% | 13% | 51% | -1.3 | -7.1 | -1.7 | +10.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 5% | 10% | 61% | +3.2 | -2.2 | +2.6 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 27% | 6% | 10% | 57% | -9.6 | -6.4 | +11.5 | +4.5 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 4% | 14% | 65% | -11.9 | +29.8 | -8.7 | -9.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 58% | +32.3 | -16.9 | -9.2 | -6.3 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 41% | 4% | 9% | 46% | -26.0 | -16.8 | +68.0 | -25.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 10% | 1% | 73% | 16% | +19.8 | -1.3 | +0.3 | -18.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 19% | 0% | 74% | 6% | -6.0 | -2.4 | +5.3 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 0% | 83% | 7% | +47.4 | -2.8 | -34.3 | -10.2 |