Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 24,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +59.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | +59.2 | -20.5 | -20.8 | -17.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 76% | 8% | 7% | 9% | -2.3 | +0.6 | +2.9 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 75% | 9% | 8% | 8% | +7.2 | -6.4 | -1.7 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 82% | 4% | 6% | 7% | -4.0 | +9.2 | -2.2 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 81% | 7% | 5% | 7% | +3.6 | +0.8 | +0.2 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 4,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 87% | 5% | 4% | 4% | +6.9 | -10.4 | +1.9 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,500 from Kurosawa Saki | 91% | 3% | 3% | 3% | +4.9 | -7.0 | +0.9 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 95% | 2% | 2% | 2% | -6.5 | -5.4 | +19.2 | -7.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 92% | 1% | 4% | 2% | -1.8 | +1.7 | -1.7 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 90% | 2% | 6% | 2% | -6.6 | +33.2 | -13.5 | -13.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 86% | 7% | 5% | 2% | -2.4 | +3.6 | -3.2 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 83% | 9% | 5% | 2% | -2.7 | -20.1 | -16.6 | +39.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 85% | 2% | 3% | 10% | -1.8 | -4.2 | +4.6 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 83% | 2% | 4% | 11% | -3.0 | +4.3 | +1.7 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 79% | 3% | 5% | 13% | +1.1 | +31.1 | -23.5 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 7,800 | 82% | 10% | 0% | 8% | -7.0 | -14.3 | -3.7 | +25.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 8% | 0% | 19% | +22.4 | -11.6 | -2.8 | -8.0 |