Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 24,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +57.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +57.6 | -17.4 | -21.3 | -18.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 73% | 9% | 8% | 9% | -2.9 | -0.7 | +2.6 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 73% | 9% | 9% | 9% | +9.7 | -5.3 | -2.2 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 82% | 5% | 6% | 7% | -4.7 | +8.2 | -2.6 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 80% | 8% | 5% | 7% | +4.3 | +0.2 | -0.5 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 4,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 87% | 6% | 3% | 4% | +6.4 | -10.2 | +3.0 | +0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,500 from Saki Kurosawa | 91% | 3% | 3% | 3% | +4.5 | -6.9 | +1.5 | +0.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 1% | 3% | 2% | -5.7 | -7.4 | +19.0 | -5.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 1% | 5% | 2% | -1.8 | +2.1 | -3.4 | +3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 90% | 2% | 5% | 3% | -7.8 | +34.9 | -11.5 | -15.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 84% | 9% | 5% | 2% | -2.1 | +3.0 | -3.7 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 82% | 10% | 5% | 3% | -0.9 | -21.0 | -17.1 | +39.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 1% | 3% | 10% | -2.9 | -3.8 | +4.7 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 2% | 4% | 12% | -3.4 | +4.6 | +2.3 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 79% | 3% | 6% | 12% | +1.8 | +30.4 | -23.5 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 7,800 | 82% | 9% | 0% | 8% | -7.6 | -13.7 | -4.1 | +25.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 9% | 0% | 19% | +22.8 | -11.5 | -2.7 | -8.6 |