Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/5 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -11.9 | -1.4 | -2.3 | +15.6 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 24% | 23% | 36% | -7.6 | +22.1 | -6.1 | -8.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 40% | 19% | 28% | +23.9 | -15.0 | -6.1 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 28% | 28% | 17% | 28% | -33.0 | +0.2 | -2.6 | +35.4 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 7% | 23% | 11% | 59% | -2.8 | +1.7 | +1.8 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 24% | 11% | 59% | +52.8 | -18.9 | -15.0 | -18.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 40% | 14% | 7% | 38% | -4.7 | -2.6 | -3.5 | +10.9 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 12% | 5% | 50% | -4.1 | -11.4 | -3.8 | +19.4 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 19% | 2% | 3% | 76% | -10.6 | +9.9 | -7.2 | +7.9 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 2% | 0% | 93% | +11.2 | -4.5 | -4.2 | -2.6 |