Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/5 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -11.4 | -1.9 | -3.6 | +16.9 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 24% | 23% | 36% | -8.0 | +21.8 | -6.8 | -7.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 39% | 19% | 29% | +25.4 | -13.7 | -6.7 | -5.0 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 29% | 28% | 17% | 26% | -35.7 | +2.1 | -3.1 | +36.7 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 8% | 23% | 10% | 59% | -1.7 | -0.3 | +4.4 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 24% | 12% | 58% | +54.0 | -18.2 | -17.1 | -18.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,700 | 43% | 15% | 6% | 36% | -7.9 | -1.8 | -2.6 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 31% | 13% | 6% | 50% | -2.8 | -12.9 | -2.6 | +18.3 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 20% | 2% | 4% | 74% | -10.6 | +11.2 | -8.4 | +7.8 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 3% | 0% | 91% | +11.4 | -5.7 | -4.1 | -1.6 |