Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +38.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -6.1 | +0.9 | -1.1 | +6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 20% | 26% | 24% | 30% | -1.0 | -6.6 | +9.4 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 21% | 29% | 30% | +24.5 | -6.7 | -13.7 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 6,000 | 40% | 16% | 18% | 26% | -5.0 | -5.5 | -9.0 | +19.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 13% | 13% | 41% | -8.8 | +38.8 | -8.5 | -21.5 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 41% | 10% | 22% | -11.4 | +18.3 | -3.9 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 13% | 62% | 8% | 17% | -4.8 | +15.0 | -5.0 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 79% | 4% | 10% | -0.1 | +1.7 | -1.7 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 86% | 4% | 7% | -10.3 | -5.3 | +25.5 | -9.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 3% | 80% | 10% | 7% | -9.4 | -0.4 | +9.4 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 79% | 11% | 8% | +1.7 | +8.2 | -4.8 | -5.1 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 92% | 2% | 5% | -7.2 | -1.6 | -3.1 | +11.9 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Draw | 0% | 91% | 1% | 7% | +3.4 | -3.5 | -10.2 | +10.4 |
| South 4, 7 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho | 1% | 87% | 1% | 11% | -2.6 | -8.5 | -5.2 | +16.3 |
| South 4, 8 honba | Draw | 1% | 77% | 2% | 21% | -6.1 | +10.2 | +4.4 | -8.5 |