Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/8 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -14.4 | -1.0 | +13.6 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 24% | 34% | 27% | -6.3 | +24.3 | -9.9 | -8.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 41% | 26% | 21% | -1.7 | +6.5 | -2.8 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Nakabayashi Kei | 11% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 0.0 | -1.3 | +20.5 | -19.1 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 9% | 44% | 37% | 10% | +1.1 | -7.3 | +28.3 | -22.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 28% | 62% | 3% | +6.3 | -0.5 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 6,400 from Nakabayashi Kei | 8% | 28% | 61% | 3% | +13.7 | -1.0 | +0.5 | -13.2 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 13% | 26% | 61% | 1% | -4.2 | -3.0 | +6.6 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 6% | 21% | 72% | 1% | -8.9 | +9.3 | -0.7 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 3% | 27% | 69% | 1% | -0.5 | -7.3 | +7.9 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 16% | 82% | 0% | +2.5 | -3.9 | +2.5 | -1.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 7% | 92% | 0% | -2.7 | +5.9 | -4.3 | +1.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 15% | 84% | 1% | +19.2 | -16.4 | +4.4 | -7.2 |