Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.4 | -1.9 | -0.8 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 24% | 28% | -10.1 | +38.2 | -14.3 | -13.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 14% | 54% | 15% | 17% | -1.7 | -23.7 | -0.2 | +25.5 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 32% | 17% | 37% | +39.1 | -9.1 | -20.6 | -9.4 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 44% | 23% | 6% | 26% | +12.6 | -0.6 | -1.7 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 21% | 6% | 17% | -14.0 | +28.2 | -6.4 | -7.8 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 37% | 48% | 3% | 12% | -9.6 | +8.6 | +0.1 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,500 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 59% | 3% | 13% | -1.8 | +6.6 | +0.7 | -5.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 68% | 3% | 8% | -14.1 | +32.4 | -9.5 | -8.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 1% | 97% | 1% | 1% | +16.5 | -13.1 | -1.3 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 7% | 90% | 1% | 2% | +12.0 | -0.9 | -13.2 | +2.1 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 13% | 86% | 0% | 1% | -4.4 | +6.2 | +9.3 | -11.2 |