Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 26% | 25% | 23% | -4.5 | +0.1 | -2.0 | +6.3 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 24% | 28% | -13.3 | +37.0 | -11.2 | -12.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 12% | 54% | 14% | 19% | +2.8 | -23.6 | -1.5 | +22.4 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 33% | 16% | 36% | +36.0 | -8.0 | -18.6 | -9.3 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 25% | 8% | 26% | +14.7 | -3.6 | -4.5 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 19% | 5% | 19% | -14.4 | +27.5 | -3.8 | -9.3 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 38% | 44% | 5% | 13% | -10.1 | +12.9 | -1.4 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,500 from Sayaka Kayamori | 24% | 62% | 3% | 10% | -0.3 | +3.3 | +1.5 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 66% | 4% | 8% | -15.4 | +34.0 | -10.3 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 1% | 97% | 0% | 1% | +16.0 | -12.4 | -1.9 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 7% | 91% | 0% | 1% | +12.6 | -1.5 | -12.3 | +1.2 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 13% | 86% | 0% | 1% | -4.6 | +5.8 | +9.3 | -10.5 |