Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -11.7 | +20.4 | -5.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 41% | 20% | 23% | +14.3 | -6.4 | -3.7 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 35% | 18% | 21% | -5.3 | +23.0 | -12.7 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 18% | 58% | 10% | 15% | -1.8 | +1.8 | +24.0 | -24.0 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,500 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 60% | 19% | 5% | +5.4 | +0.5 | -6.3 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 20% | 60% | 15% | 5% | -3.4 | +10.9 | -2.3 | -5.2 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 76% | 11% | 4% | -0.9 | -2.0 | -4.7 | +7.7 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 78% | 9% | 4% | +29.8 | -7.5 | -15.4 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 63% | 0% | 3% | +35.6 | -26.1 | +2.5 | -12.0 |