Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -12.8 | +21.5 | -4.1 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 42% | 19% | 22% | +14.9 | -9.0 | -2.6 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 34% | 20% | 20% | -4.8 | +23.5 | -13.5 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 20% | 56% | 9% | 15% | -0.8 | +2.2 | +21.6 | -23.1 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,500 from Sayaka Okada | 17% | 59% | 18% | 5% | +3.4 | +1.2 | -4.9 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 19% | 61% | 15% | 6% | -2.4 | +11.3 | -3.0 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 76% | 10% | 3% | -2.2 | -2.4 | -3.7 | +8.4 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 78% | 10% | 4% | +29.5 | -6.7 | -15.8 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 64% | 0% | 3% | +36.5 | -26.9 | +2.9 | -12.5 |