Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +41.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 24% | 27% | 24% | +41.7 | -12.0 | -16.0 | -13.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 61% | 14% | 12% | 13% | -0.1 | +1.8 | -4.0 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 62% | 13% | 12% | 13% | +3.1 | -14.0 | +0.7 | +10.2 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 66% | 7% | 11% | 17% | +1.1 | +0.2 | +8.1 | -9.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 67% | 7% | 13% | 13% | -6.6 | +32.9 | -21.6 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 23% | 5% | 12% | +7.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 69% | 19% | 5% | 7% | -0.6 | -0.5 | +4.4 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,500 | 71% | 17% | 6% | 6% | -3.1 | +8.5 | -2.7 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 67% | 23% | 5% | 6% | -5.3 | +6.2 | -3.1 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 59% | 30% | 5% | 7% | +13.0 | -7.7 | -3.9 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 79% | 14% | 2% | 5% | +13.3 | -3.4 | -9.8 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,300 from Rio Tojyo | 96% | 2% | 0% | 2% | +3.8 | +0.2 | -2.7 | -1.2 |