Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +45.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 26% | 27% | 24% | +45.6 | -16.0 | -15.9 | -13.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 60% | 13% | 13% | 14% | -0.5 | +5.5 | -5.8 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 61% | 15% | 10% | 13% | +2.7 | -12.3 | -1.4 | +11.0 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 65% | 9% | 9% | 16% | -0.3 | -2.3 | +7.8 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 7% | 13% | 15% | -4.5 | +30.4 | -17.0 | -8.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 61% | 22% | 6% | 12% | +6.6 | +0.2 | -4.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 69% | 19% | 4% | 8% | +0.3 | -1.4 | +5.0 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,500 | 73% | 16% | 4% | 7% | -4.3 | +8.6 | -1.6 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 67% | 22% | 5% | 6% | -3.9 | +5.9 | -3.0 | +1.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,100 | 60% | 30% | 4% | 6% | +12.5 | -7.4 | -4.3 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 79% | 14% | 2% | 4% | +11.9 | -3.3 | -9.7 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,300 from Tojyo Rio | 95% | 3% | 0% | 3% | +4.5 | +0.2 | -2.6 | -2.1 |