Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +32.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +2.8 | -4.5 | +4.4 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 21% | 27% | 24% | -18.1 | -8.8 | -8.5 | +35.3 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 15% | 19% | 52% | -11.2 | +37.3 | -10.4 | -15.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 40% | 14% | 36% | +32.7 | -17.3 | -11.1 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 29% | 26% | 11% | 34% | -0.8 | +1.1 | -19.3 | +19.0 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 24% | 25% | 3% | 48% | +23.2 | -5.7 | -11.5 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 43% | 17% | 1% | 39% | +29.4 | -24.0 | +0.7 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 75% | 4% | 1% | 20% | -5.0 | +4.5 | -0.6 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 73% | 5% | 1% | 22% | +2.8 | -20.3 | +15.0 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 78% | 0% | 1% | 20% | -0.5 | +1.3 | -6.8 | +6.0 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 0% | 0% | 22% | +7.0 | -15.8 | +22.9 | -14.1 |