Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.2 | -4.7 | +2.9 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 21% | 27% | 24% | -19.2 | -7.9 | -8.8 | +35.8 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 15% | 20% | 51% | -11.5 | +37.2 | -11.0 | -14.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 40% | 14% | 37% | +34.5 | -17.6 | -8.0 | -8.9 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 29% | 29% | 11% | 30% | -2.4 | -1.1 | -20.2 | +23.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 24% | 24% | 3% | 50% | +22.5 | -2.5 | -12.8 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 42% | 18% | 2% | 38% | +28.8 | -25.1 | +1.6 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 74% | 3% | 1% | 22% | -4.9 | +4.9 | -0.9 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 71% | 5% | 1% | 24% | +3.8 | -21.0 | +15.6 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 78% | 0% | 2% | 21% | -0.3 | +1.6 | -7.0 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 0% | 0% | 22% | +6.8 | -16.1 | +23.0 | -13.6 |