Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 23% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +10.4 | -7.8 | +0.1 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 6,000 | 31% | 20% | 25% | 24% | +18.9 | -8.5 | -5.3 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 46% | 14% | 20% | 20% | -2.1 | -12.3 | -0.9 | +15.3 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 43% | 10% | 19% | 29% | -30.3 | -4.2 | +34.0 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 7% | 46% | 28% | -4.3 | -1.6 | +6.6 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 6% | 52% | 28% | -3.3 | +19.4 | -11.6 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 13% | 44% | 27% | -4.2 | +6.5 | +1.1 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 13% | 18% | 45% | 24% | -17.0 | +0.5 | +18.3 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 3% | 15% | 66% | 17% | -2.4 | -4.9 | 0.0 | +7.2 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 2% | 8% | 70% | 21% | +40.9 | -2.2 | +4.1 | -42.8 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 11% | 4% | 80% | 5% | +2.4 | -4.2 | +12.1 | -10.2 |