Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +7.8 | -8.2 | -0.8 | +1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 19% | 25% | 26% | +18.4 | -6.8 | -4.8 | -6.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 44% | 15% | 21% | 20% | -2.0 | -13.0 | +0.2 | +14.8 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 42% | 10% | 21% | 28% | -31.4 | -5.9 | +34.5 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 7% | 46% | 31% | -0.7 | -1.5 | +4.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 6% | 51% | 27% | -6.8 | +22.9 | -8.6 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 15% | 15% | 46% | 24% | -2.0 | +4.2 | 0.0 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 14% | 17% | 46% | 23% | -17.0 | -0.2 | +18.0 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 3% | 12% | 68% | 17% | -3.2 | -3.2 | -1.0 | +7.4 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 2% | 9% | 69% | 20% | +41.5 | -2.7 | +4.1 | -42.9 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 11% | 5% | 79% | 5% | +2.0 | -4.4 | +12.3 | -9.9 |