Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/14 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+70.0pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +16.7 | -5.2 | -4.1 | -7.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 21% | 22% | 20% | +28.4 | -9.2 | -11.2 | -8.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,500 | 62% | 12% | 12% | 14% | -4.6 | -1.6 | +8.5 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 59% | 12% | 17% | 12% | +2.3 | -9.7 | -2.5 | +9.9 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 61% | 7% | 15% | 17% | -0.9 | +2.1 | -22.9 | +21.6 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 60% | 7% | 5% | 28% | +4.2 | -0.4 | +22.9 | -26.8 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 8% | 12% | 12% | -10.2 | -8.3 | -5.4 | +23.9 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 57% | 5% | 11% | 26% | +7.5 | -5.1 | +23.7 | -26.2 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Asami Maki | 71% | 1% | 19% | 10% | +8.9 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 0% | 6% | 8% | +17.8 | -7.1 | -0.5 | -10.2 |