Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/14 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+70.0pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +16.6 | -6.6 | -6.3 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 20% | 21% | 22% | +27.7 | -8.5 | -8.8 | -10.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 1,500 | 61% | 14% | 12% | 13% | -3.8 | -2.5 | +5.9 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 13% | 15% | 14% | +0.2 | -7.9 | -1.4 | +9.1 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 60% | 8% | 14% | 18% | +2.2 | +0.5 | -22.2 | +19.5 |
| East 4 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 60% | 7% | 5% | 28% | +4.2 | -2.5 | +22.8 | -24.6 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 6% | 11% | 12% | -12.2 | -5.2 | -6.5 | +24.0 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 55% | 7% | 10% | 28% | +8.6 | -7.2 | +23.9 | -25.3 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Maki Asami | 71% | 1% | 17% | 11% | +8.7 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 0% | 6% | 7% | +18.3 | -7.5 | -0.4 | -10.4 |