Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/14 Game 2
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -2.6 | -2.7 | +5.4 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 27% | 24% | -4.0 | -13.0 | -6.1 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 21% | 15% | 21% | 43% | -4.2 | -0.9 | +40.2 | -35.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 12% | 56% | 16% | +23.7 | -4.3 | -13.4 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 33% | 11% | 42% | 14% | +1.1 | +6.0 | -2.7 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 18,000 | 35% | 14% | 41% | 10% | +45.9 | -15.3 | -20.7 | -10.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 85% | 3% | 10% | 3% | -1.1 | -14.0 | -0.2 | +15.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 85% | 2% | 8% | 5% | -1.1 | +1.0 | +2.7 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 84% | 2% | 10% | 4% | -2.3 | -0.2 | +20.7 | -18.2 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 79% | 0% | 19% | 2% | +6.7 | +6.2 | -8.3 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 0% | 5% | 1% | +0.4 | +4.9 | +8.5 | -13.9 |