Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/14 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +45.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -2.5 | -0.6 | +1.0 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -4.1 | -13.6 | -4.5 | +22.2 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 15% | 22% | 45% | -1.4 | 0.0 | +38.7 | -37.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 13% | 56% | 14% | +22.7 | -6.2 | -12.6 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 34% | 11% | 42% | 14% | +1.4 | +5.3 | -3.0 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 34% | 13% | 40% | 13% | +45.0 | -12.9 | -19.8 | -12.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 83% | 3% | 11% | 3% | +0.2 | -15.6 | -0.2 | +15.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 1% | 8% | 4% | -2.0 | +2.9 | +1.4 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 83% | 2% | 10% | 5% | -1.1 | -1.3 | +21.3 | -19.0 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 79% | 0% | 19% | 1% | +6.0 | +6.3 | -8.4 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 0% | 5% | 1% | +0.7 | +4.7 | +8.4 | -13.8 |