Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/15 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +42.6 | -0.5 | -41.1 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 57% | 19% | 5% | 18% | +5.0 | -5.3 | -3.3 | +3.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 61% | 15% | 4% | 20% | +20.6 | -1.1 | -17.2 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi | 77% | 10% | 1% | 12% | +15.0 | +1.9 | +1.1 | -17.9 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 89% | 6% | 1% | 4% | -15.7 | +17.0 | -1.9 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 78% | 15% | 1% | 6% | +4.3 | -23.9 | +18.7 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 87% | 5% | 2% | 6% | +0.6 | +2.4 | -2.7 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 89% | 4% | 1% | 6% | -7.0 | -9.6 | -8.4 | +25.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 81% | 4% | 1% | 15% | -3.9 | -1.9 | +2.4 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 75% | 5% | 1% | 19% | -0.8 | -0.6 | -6.2 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 74% | 4% | 1% | 21% | +3.1 | +2.6 | -0.3 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 81% | 4% | 1% | 15% | +2.6 | +2.5 | +1.4 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 84% | 5% | 1% | 11% | -0.3 | +19.3 | -0.5 | -18.6 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 86% | 9% | 1% | 5% | +7.8 | -6.1 | -0.6 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 96% | 0% | 0% | 3% | -7.1 | -12.6 | +36.0 | -16.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 94% | 1% | 3% | 2% | +2.0 | +14.4 | -16.1 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 97% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -10.9 | -14.9 | +43.4 | -17.6 |