Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/15 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -8.7 | -2.9 | +11.1 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Setokuma Naoki | 19% | 22% | 33% | 26% | -15.3 | -2.8 | +20.4 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 17% | 50% | 23% | +36.0 | -11.0 | -17.2 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 13% | 35% | 19% | +25.5 | -5.0 | -5.8 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000 | 59% | 9% | 24% | 8% | -26.5 | +53.3 | -15.3 | -11.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 29% | 50% | 15% | 6% | +8.7 | -4.4 | -0.5 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | -1.2 | +2.4 | -5.5 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 36% | 48% | 9% | 7% | -1.1 | -0.7 | -2.9 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 34% | 48% | 8% | 10% | +40.8 | -18.1 | -2.4 | -20.3 |