Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/18 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 23% | 26% | 28% | -15.3 | +34.4 | -8.8 | -10.3 |
| East 2 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 12% | 51% | 18% | 18% | -0.1 | -11.7 | +10.5 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 40% | 26% | 21% | -4.0 | +22.6 | -14.8 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 10% | 64% | 12% | 15% | -0.3 | +20.4 | -19.3 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 87% | 3% | 6% | +4.6 | -1.7 | +1.9 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 85% | 3% | 5% | +33.9 | -10.4 | -11.8 | -11.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 23% | 70% | 3% | 4% | -6.0 | +5.8 | -0.2 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 80% | 2% | 3% | +16.7 | -4.3 | +2.9 | -15.3 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 71% | 2% | 1% | -4.8 | +1.7 | -17.7 | +20.8 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 18% | 79% | 0% | 3% | -3.3 | +8.9 | -0.2 | -5.4 |