Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/18 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 27% | 23% | 26% | -16.1 | +30.9 | -7.8 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 51% | 18% | 19% | -1.2 | -11.3 | +12.3 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 41% | 27% | 20% | -3.3 | +25.0 | -13.4 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 8% | 66% | 13% | 12% | +1.7 | +19.5 | -20.2 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 88% | 3% | 4% | +2.6 | -2.5 | +0.7 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 85% | 3% | 6% | +35.5 | -10.7 | -12.9 | -11.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 23% | 70% | 3% | 4% | -6.2 | +6.2 | -0.7 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 14% | 81% | 2% | 3% | +16.4 | -4.7 | +3.5 | -15.2 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 71% | 1% | 1% | -4.7 | +1.7 | -17.1 | +20.1 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 18% | 80% | 0% | 2% | -3.7 | +8.9 | -0.3 | -5.0 |