Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/19 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -5.0 | -0.8 | +3.0 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 22% | 25% | 27% | 26% | +0.7 | +33.8 | -4.4 | -30.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 19% | 51% | 20% | 10% | -0.6 | -10.1 | +1.8 | +8.8 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 43% | 23% | 15% | -1.4 | -1.1 | -8.1 | +10.6 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 44% | 17% | 20% | +24.3 | -6.3 | -3.1 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio | 38% | 36% | 15% | 12% | -17.5 | +4.6 | +15.2 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 42% | 25% | 10% | -11.4 | -25.4 | +45.3 | -8.5 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 10% | 77% | 5% | +18.4 | -10.8 | -2.5 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 4% | 76% | 5% | +2.1 | -2.9 | +10.0 | -9.2 |