Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/19 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +64.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -0.4 | -2.5 | -19.4 | +22.3 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 23% | 21% | 14% | 42% | -0.4 | -23.4 | +20.1 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 9% | 23% | 46% | +25.3 | -2.9 | -16.0 | -6.3 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 42% | 7% | 13% | 38% | +6.2 | -3.4 | +21.5 | -24.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 50% | 7% | 25% | 19% | -6.3 | -4.1 | +3.8 | +6.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 43% | 6% | 28% | 24% | +29.8 | -18.6 | -6.3 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 79% | 0% | 11% | 10% | -8.9 | +0.2 | +9.8 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 68% | 0% | 21% | 11% | -4.2 | -1.0 | +6.3 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 61% | 0% | 26% | 13% | +0.4 | -10.3 | -13.0 | +22.9 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 63% | 0% | 13% | 25% | -13.8 | -2.2 | -7.1 | +23.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 34% | 0% | 8% | 58% | -30.2 | -11.7 | +64.9 | -23.0 |