Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/19 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +64.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -0.8 | -2.8 | -20.2 | +23.8 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 22% | 21% | 13% | 45% | +0.4 | -22.6 | +21.8 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 9% | 24% | 45% | +26.8 | -4.1 | -17.1 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 43% | 7% | 12% | 39% | +2.5 | -1.9 | +23.1 | -23.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 7% | 26% | 20% | -4.9 | -3.8 | +3.7 | +5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 44% | 6% | 28% | 23% | +29.6 | -19.5 | -6.7 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 79% | 0% | 11% | 10% | -9.7 | -0.4 | +11.1 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 0% | 21% | 13% | -3.3 | -0.9 | +6.5 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 60% | 0% | 29% | 12% | +0.1 | -10.0 | -13.4 | +23.3 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,000 | 62% | 0% | 13% | 25% | -14.1 | -2.0 | -7.4 | +23.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 32% | 0% | 9% | 59% | -29.1 | -12.0 | +64.4 | -23.3 |