Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +33.0 | -13.2 | -10.7 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 15% | 17% | 18% | -9.6 | +20.7 | -5.0 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 41% | 28% | 15% | 16% | +20.1 | -1.7 | -18.4 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 21% | 6% | 12% | -9.6 | +29.5 | -13.6 | -6.3 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 44% | 46% | 2% | 8% | -4.9 | +11.3 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 35% | 59% | 2% | 4% | -2.5 | +2.1 | +5.0 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 63% | 2% | 4% | +3.1 | -3.1 | +2.8 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 61% | 2% | 3% | -8.9 | +16.6 | -9.7 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 11% | 88% | 0% | 1% | -7.2 | +2.7 | -1.9 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 93% | 0% | 2% | -1.3 | +1.9 | +3.7 | -4.3 |